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Postad
ok fcking bad beat bitches.

 

AK är en tight tjej jag känner. Hon är gift. Vi hade förfest hos mig idag. Sju 20 åriga tajta bimbos, hon o hennes polare K.

 

AK o jag har haft en flört på g ett tag. Vi drar ut allihopa. AK håller på o grovhånglar med mig. Hon ska sova över hos mig. Fucking saken är set lr hur?

 

Samtidig klistrar en av de 20 åriga bimbobrudarna som har pojkvän på mig. Jag frågar henne i balkongen: Så du är typ upptagen? Hon: mmm nah.... låter bra.

 

Sen inne på stället träffar jag en negress (u know me bitches). Hon är fr Sydafrika. Vi håller på o hånglar o grejer o hon vill slagga hos mig. Jag säger Nej pga AK ska ju slagga hos mig. jag tar hennes nr men hon lär inte komma ihåg mig imorn. Whatever.

 

Jag avfärdar den 20åriga tajta bruden också för saken är set ffs.

 

AK bestämmer sig för o ta taxi hem efter att ha grovhånglat med mig på klubben. Hon vet att om hon sover över så blir det action. Hennes polare K övertalar henne o åka hem.

 

Så nu är jag aspackad o stenhög o 3 brudar väcka.... FFS Fucking bad beat jävla fucking helvetes jävla fucking shit.

 

Whatever, om en månad Sydafrika och knulla lättfotade jävla negresser. Fuck that shit.

 

Ibland åker man på enoutaren.

 

16k ner för månaden också. Livet leker.

 

Blir grind på nl200 hela nästa månad för o läka såren.

 

Positivt i eländet? Har grindat 45k händer redan och det är månadsrekord. Lär bli 5k RB. Det behövs.

 

Helvete också att jag lyckades bränna 3 chanser..... va fan.

 

Nu blir det fylle- och koksgrind. Har aldrig backat tidigare under dessa tillstånd.

 

FUCK. FML. Hur fan kunde jag bränna 3 heta lägen? Jag förjänar inte o vara Supertequila....

 

F U C K

 

F U C K

 

F U C K

 

50 cent rullar på i bakgrunden o säger:

I fuck pussy for free, Im hitting that...

 

Fuck u 50.

nån behövde göra detta

 

in other news: :(

Postad
ok fcking bad beat bitches.

 

AK är en tight tjej jag känner. Hon är gift. Vi hade förfest hos mig idag. Sju 20 åriga tajta bimbos, hon o hennes polare K.

 

AK o jag har haft en flört på g ett tag. Vi drar ut allihopa. AK håller på o grovhånglar med mig. Hon ska sova över hos mig. Fucking saken är set lr hur?

 

Samtidig klistrar en av de 20 åriga bimbobrudarna som har pojkvän på mig. Jag frågar henne i balkongen: Så du är typ upptagen? Hon: mmm nah.... låter bra.

 

Sen inne på stället träffar jag en negress (u know me bitches). Hon är fr Sydafrika. Vi håller på o hånglar o grejer o hon vill slagga hos mig. Jag säger Nej pga AK ska ju slagga hos mig. jag tar hennes nr men hon lär inte komma ihåg mig imorn. Whatever.

 

Jag avfärdar den 20åriga tajta bruden också för saken är set ffs.

 

AK bestämmer sig för o ta taxi hem efter att ha grovhånglat med mig på klubben. Hon vet att om hon sover över så blir det action. Hennes polare K övertalar henne o åka hem.

 

Så nu är jag aspackad o stenhög o 3 brudar väcka.... FFS Fucking bad beat jävla fucking helvetes jävla fucking shit.

 

Whatever, om en månad Sydafrika och knulla lättfotade jävla negresser. Fuck that shit.

 

Ibland åker man på enoutaren.

 

16k ner för månaden också. Livet leker.

 

Blir grind på nl200 hela nästa månad för o läka såren.

 

Positivt i eländet? Har grindat 45k händer redan och det är månadsrekord. Lär bli 5k RB. Det behövs.

 

Helvete också att jag lyckades bränna 3 chanser..... va fan.

 

Nu blir det fylle- och koksgrind. Har aldrig backat tidigare under dessa tillstånd.

 

FUCK. FML. Hur fan kunde jag bränna 3 heta lägen? Jag förjänar inte o vara Supertequila....

 

F U C K

 

F U C K

 

F U C K

 

50 cent rullar på i bakgrunden o säger:

I fuck pussy for free, Im hitting that...

 

Fuck u 50.

 

Trevlig läsning. Hur går det med GTOn tjockis?

Postad

FFS.. skrev ett långt inlägg som försvann i etern. Cliffnotes:

 

20 min sen ringer telefonen. N (mörka tjejen fr klubben) gav mig sitt nr o bad mig ringa henne så hon får mitt. Så nu ringer hon.

Jag: hej

N: Vem e det?

jag: Sean

hon: vem?

jag: sean fr klubben.

hon: kommer inte ihåg dig. kommer inte ihåg mkt fr natten.

jag: vi festade ihop o hade kul men det är ok. sov gott.

 

5 min sen ringer tel igen, det är hon.

jag: hej.

Hon: NU kommer jag ihåg dig. tyckte du var fin. kan vi festa ihop nästa helg?

 

Låter nice. Kan bli rumpppppaaaaaa nästa helg då :)

 

Postad
ok fcking bad beat bitches.

 

AK är en tight tjej jag känner. Hon är gift. Vi hade förfest hos mig idag. Sju 20 åriga tajta bimbos, hon o hennes polare K.

 

AK o jag har haft en flört på g ett tag. Vi drar ut allihopa. AK håller på o grovhånglar med mig. Hon ska sova över hos mig. Fucking saken är set lr hur?

 

Samtidig klistrar en av de 20 åriga bimbobrudarna som har pojkvän på mig. Jag frågar henne i balkongen: Så du är typ upptagen? Hon: mmm nah.... låter bra.

 

Sen inne på stället träffar jag en afrikanska (u know me bitches). Hon är fr Sydafrika. Vi håller på o hånglar o grejer o hon vill slagga hos mig. Jag säger Nej pga AK ska ju slagga hos mig. jag tar hennes nr men hon lär inte komma ihåg mig imorn. Whatever.

 

Jag avfärdar den 20åriga tajta bruden också för saken är set ffs.

 

AK bestämmer sig för o ta taxi hem efter att ha grovhånglat med mig på klubben. Hon vet att om hon sover över så blir det action. Hennes polare K övertalar henne o åka hem.

 

Så nu är jag aspackad o stenhög o 3 brudar väcka.... FFS Fucking bad beat jävla fucking helvetes jävla fucking shit.

 

Whatever, om en månad Sydafrika och knulla lättfotade jävla brudar. Fuck that shit.

 

Ibland åker man på enoutaren.

 

16k ner för månaden också. Livet leker.

 

Blir grind på nl200 hela nästa månad för o läka såren.

 

Positivt i eländet? Har grindat 45k händer redan och det är månadsrekord. Lär bli 5k RB. Det behövs.

 

Helvete också att jag lyckades bränna 3 chanser..... va fan.

 

Nu blir det fylle- och koksgrind. Har aldrig backat tidigare under dessa tillstånd.

 

FUCK. FML. Hur fan kunde jag bränna 3 heta lägen? Jag förjänar inte o vara Supertequila....

 

F U C K

 

F U C K

 

F U C K

 

50 cent rullar på i bakgrunden o säger:

I fuck pussy for free, Im hitting that...

 

Fuck u 50.

 

Edit: Nyktrat till lite. En viss mått av politisk korrekthet infogas.

 

[x] cockblocked by self

Postad

Försöker grinda tillbaks hålet fr nl1k på nl200. Rullar på rätt bra faktiskt. Märks tydligt att spelkvalitén är inte samma.

 

Fi är reg på nl200. Han är nog vinnande o har rätt standard stats. Här tror jag han viker allt förutom AA-KK. Han stekte och timebankade till sista sekunden innan han synade och man torskade en 500BB flip :)

 

Funderade över min 5betssize där... kan i o f s slå om till 200, men känner att jag är rätt comitted där ändå, så bäst o va sista aggressorn i handen o pusha?

 

 

 

BossMedia Game #50000001832341840: Table Table TH 7021 - €1.00/€2.00 - No Limit Hold'em - 06:24:40 - 2009/11/30

Seat 3: Digic (€49.74)

Seat 4: Leo-Drake (€547.56)

Seat 5: westfelt (€694.24)

Seat 2: Realbubba (€564.73)

westfelt posts the big blind of €2.00

Leo-Drake posts the small blind of €1.00

Digic is the button

*** HOLE CARDS ***

Dealt to Leo-Drake Ace of SpadesKing of Hearts

Realbubba raises €6.00

Digic calls €6.00

Leo-Drake raises €30.00

westfelt folds

Realbubba raises €81.00

Digic folds

Leo-Drake goes all-in with €547.56

Realbubba calls €547.56

*** FLOP *** Jack of Spades2 of DiamondsJack of Diamonds

*** TURN *** Jack of Spades2 of DiamondsJack of Diamonds8 of Hearts

*** RIVER *** Jack of Spades2 of DiamondsJack of Diamonds8 of Hearts3 of Clubs

*** SUMMARY ***

Total pot €1100.12 | Rake €3.00

Board: Jack of Spades2 of DiamondsJack of Diamonds8 of Hearts3 of Clubs

Realbubba won (€1100.12), showed Queen of HeartsQueen of Diamonds

Digic won (€0.00), mucks

Leo-Drake won (€0.00), showed Ace of SpadesKing of Hearts

westfelt won (€0.00), mucks

Postad

Kollade lite:

 

equity win tie pots won pots tied

Hand 0: 40.207% 38.35% 01.86% 19042240 923339.00 { QdQh }

Hand 1: 59.793% 57.93% 01.86% 28767898 923339.00 { KK+, QcQs, AKs, AKo }

 

synen kostar 461 för honom så det ger EV för honom:

1100*0.4-461=-21. I princip EV neutralt då.

 

Om han bara synar KK+ vinner jag 110 varje gång han viker o förlorar 660 när han synar. Så i princip måste han 4beta topp 3,5% (99+, AQs+) för att det ska gå jämnt upp, och det kanske inte är så realistiskt 500BB djupt.

 

Medans om jag slår om till 200 o han 6betspushar så har jag -6 EV mot en range bestående av QQ+ (tror han viker AK), -127 mot KK+.

 

Ställer han AK+, QQ+ så får vi bättre EV på att betsyna 200. Vi får då EV 82, men tror inte han ställer 500 BB djupt så brett när han steker hela vägen med QQ.

 

Så kontentan blir att betsizingen nog inte var så fin ändå.

Tänker inte 5betsvika 200 heller så klart.

 

Förslag på linje så djupt?

Postad

That has to be a pretty easy fold preflop when he 4bets. 3bet/folding AK always hurts ofc, but I still prefer it to 4betting or folding, since he's going to flat your 3bet with so much trash that you can't really afford to just flat his initial raise.

 

99% of NL200 regs on IPN would never ever consider felting anything but QQ/KK/AA preflop for 250bb. And QQ is actually kind of a stretch for most of those guys. If my memory serves me right, Realbubba, while certainly not a nit, is not one of the last 1% that ships 250bb in pre with anything but the goods. People's perception of what exactly constitutes "the goods" vary ofc, but from my experience "the goods" would rarely include anything but QQ-AA.

 

Additionally, when he 4bets to 40bb he does so as a valuebet 99% of the times. I know he has to compensate for the deep stacks by 4betting bigger, and thus should do so with his entire range, but here it's looks pretty obvious that he's just trying to shovel in money with the, presumably, best hand.

 

In my opinion the key to this problem is to simply realise that his valuerange is insanely narrow in this spot. Accordingly, his valuerange doesn't include topwhatever percent of hands, but is in my opinion incredibly polarised between the nuts and random trash.

I haven't done the math, but I suppose you have around 30% equity vs QQ/KK/AA, slightly less if you discount some combos of QQ, and therefore you need him to fold somewhere around 50-60% of his 4betting range for you to show a profit.

Assuming he never 4bets for value and then folds to the shove I think it's extremely unlikely that his range includes so many bluffs that they make up more than half of his range.

 

I've only played a little bit with you, but you never appeared to be out of line to an extent that would justify 4bet bluffing you more than 4betting you for value in that spot. Besides, with those stacks I can't imagine that he would find it more profitable to 4bet bluff you to 40BB than flatting the 3bet and play the pot IP with stacks that are deep enough to make room for some funny biz on his part. That makes it all the more unlikely that he's bluff-4betting you in this spot.

 

Also, I assume that the shortstack is some drooling retard that can't be expected to fold much when he already invested 1/8th of his stack and getting great odds to see all five cards. That should make it all the more likely that you're not 3betting insanely light/polarised, which in turn makes it a bad spot for realbubba to put in more money with air/weak hands compared to other situations where the caller in the middle is expected to fold more often than not when you open up the big bad squeeze box.

 

And finally, but also pretty important. People on these limits tend to keep it honest when they get deep. At least according to my experience.

 

BUT OMG WHAT IF HE KNOWS THAT WE KNOW ALL THIS STUFF AND THE LEVELS US AND IS IN FACT BLUFFING SO OFTEN THAT WE CAN SHOVE AK PRE?????

 

I'm pretty sure he doesn't know that we know all that. And if he does know that we know, then I know that he doesn't parse all that info while playing a shitload of tables. But we can parse all that info because we fucking rock AMIRITE?

 

With that said, if he 4bet QQ, which was obviously for value, and then had to tank before deciding to call or fold, then it's certainly possible that he has no clue wtf he's doing and he could be 4bet-bluffing with impunity because of some made up table dynamics that only exists in his head.

 

PS: Re. your calcs: How can you lose 660 everytime he calls when effective stacks are only 550?

 

PPS: This has been way too serious, so in closing I would like to appeal to you that you "pls GTFO WHEN IM PLAYING DONKS HEADS UP!!!!"

 

I better add some smileys so you guys don't think that all of this was entirely serious. :-):-D:lol::shock::mrgreen:8-)

I'm too lazy to fill them in myself, so just imagine them in the middle of the text as you read along.

Postad

Thx for your input trucker :)

 

But i dont think folding AK pre is a good move since we are at the absolute top of our range pre and folding that would make our 3bets very easy to exploit.

 

Villain can 4bet any2 vs our range since we only continue with KK+.

 

As soon as He has a calling range vs our push bigger than KK+, we have a neutral EV or better situation så i think pushing could be fine here.

 

The losing 660 is the EV of total pot of 1100. When he calls with AA-KK we win 20% of the time, 220, and lose 80%, 880, so the difference is -660.

 

Happy to see u are back writing on my blog here :)

Postad
Thx for your input trucker :)

 

But i dont think folding AK pre is a good move since we are at the absolute top of our range pre and folding that would make our 3bets very easy to exploit.

 

Villain can 4bet any2 vs our range since we only continue with KK+.

 

As soon as He has a calling range vs our push bigger than KK+, we have a neutral EV or better situation så i think pushing could be fine here.

 

The losing 660 is the EV of total pot of 1100. When he calls with AA-KK we win 20% of the time, 220, and lose 80%, 880, so the difference is -660.

 

Happy to see u are back writing on my blog here :)

 

Mayn, your math is kinda rough.

 

First of all, you EV in the allin pre situation is not 220 vs 880, since you obviously can't lose more than your own stack, nor can you win more than his stack.

 

A basic EVcalc of the allin preflop situation would be:

 

EVwin:

 

Your equity * (what's in the pot + the amount he has to call) =>

 

EVwin = .20 * (119 + 466) =>

 

EVwin = 117

 

EVlose:

 

(1 - your equity) the amount you shove =>

 

EVlose = (1 - .2) * 517 =>

 

EVlose = 413.6

 

EVtotal = EVwin - EVlose =>

 

EVtotal = 117 - 413.6 =>

 

EVtotal = 296.6

 

So everytime you guys get it in you lose 296.6.

 

Then of course he folds some percentage of the time and then you win the 119 uncontested.

 

A rough estimate indicates that for every one time he calls he needs to fold 2.5 times. Then in the course of 3.5 trials you lose 296.6 one time and win 119 2.5 times which is roughly break even. 119 * 2.5 - 296.6 = ~0

 

This means that the ratio between him calling and folding must be 1:3.5 or in other words if he calls just around 30% of the time you break even.

 

This also means that you need him to be bluffing 70% of the time. I call it bluffing even if he 4bet/folds QQ since that is essentially what he does if he plays QQ like that.

 

Though, I would be hard pressed to imagine a reg 4bet for value and then fold, especially with that size. So if my assumption is correct, then every hand he 4bet/folds would be air, and conversely he wouldn't be 4betting AQ or TT and the likes. He would instead 4bet the hands he plan to stack off with and an assortment of random trash. That doesn't really matter though, because if he 4bet/folds any hand in this spot it becomes a bluff, so the point still stands.

 

You need him to be bluffing 2.5 times as often as he has a valuehand. If his only valuehands are AA and KK, which amounts to 6 combos, he needs to show up with 15 combos of other hands. If he does in fact 4bet/fold hands like QQ and AK, then it's obvious that your shove is profitable, but it would be absolutely retarded if he did that. And as we saw he did in fact 4bet/call QQ, so I can only assume that if he 4bets for value he plans to call it off in the event that you shove. This means of course that his 4bet/call range might be wider than we assume and that, in turn, means that he needs to have that more trash in his 4bet range for you to be profitable shoving this deep.

 

You can fiddle around with the numbers until you come up with a satisfying range, but I can throw out some numbers.

 

If he 4bet/calls JJ+ you need him to fold ~50% of the time.

QQ+ and AKs and AKo, he must fold ~40%

JJ+ and AKs and AKo he must fold ~33%

 

So in my opinion what you need to do in this hand is to figure out how often he bluffs, and not find some arbitrary topx% of hands and then decide what he folds and what he calls with, since chances are that if he did in fact 4bet topx% he would likely call it off with his entire range.

Instead I'm pretty sure that he constructs his range with hands he wants to 4bet/call with and hands he wants to 4bet/fold with. This range is obviously incredibly polarised but that doesn't really matter since you don't know with which frequency he either folds or calls.

So if I were in your shoes I would try to determine if this exact spot is a good one for him to bluff. Is your 3betrange weak? Do you shove with a wide or a narrow range? Is it even a good spot to 3bet light in the first place? How are the table dynamics? etc etc.

The answers to those questions should lead you to making the right decision.

 

That's what I would do anyway, and without taking any sort of history or dynamic between you two into account I think it's a fine spot to 3bet/fold. Like I said it sucks to do that with AK, which is indeed pretty darn close to the top of our range, but he doesn't know what you 3bet/fold in this spot***, so for all he knows you could be 3betting 72o just to try to take it down pre, and thus, he has no chance of exploiting it. If he does start to 4bet you light you can obviously take counter measures to that, but without any sort of history or immediate dynamic I don't think it's all that likely that he's doing this as a bluff even remotely close to 70% of the time. I haven't taken the time to look through HEM to find stats on him, but I don't remember him as particularly spazzy in that sense, and when you think about how nitty people play with regards to 4bets with 100bb on IPN, then I can't imagine that he would suddenly be going crazy with 250bb.

 

*** If he takes the time to read this blog/diary then obviously he would know, but that's besides the point.

 

Btw, I don't even know if this thread is for discussing hands, or if you guys would rather use it to just shoot the shit about random stuff.

SuperT: If you feel more comfortable writing in Swedish when you respond to my posts, then that is fine as well. I wasn't kidding about my understanding Swedish when I wrote it earlier in the topic :)

Postad

Kul hand... hade vart ännu kuligare om den fått stå. Han som foldade hade JJ btw.

 

BossMedia Game #50000001834007959: Table Turbo TH 1199 - €1.00/€2.00 - No Limit Hold'em - 04:59:02 - 2009/12/01

Seat 3: Leo-Drake (€349.70)

Seat 4: GMTMoney (€229.60)

Seat 5: GiorgiAVFC (€334.75)

Seat 1: brunolmh (€1186.59)

Seat 2: soulixx (€97.34)

GMTMoney posts the small blind of €1.00

GiorgiAVFC posts the big blind of €2.00

Leo-Drake is the button

*** HOLE CARDS ***

Dealt to Leo-Drake 5 of Diamonds6 of Diamonds

brunolmh folds

soulixx calls €2.00

Leo-Drake calls €2.00

GMTMoney raises €10.00

GiorgiAVFC calls €10.00

soulixx calls €10.00

Leo-Drake calls €10.00

*** FLOP *** 3 of Clubs2 of Hearts4 of Hearts

GMTMoney bets €40.00

GiorgiAVFC goes all-in with €324.75

soulixx goes all-in with €87.34

Leo-Drake goes all-in with €339.70

GMTMoney folds

*** TURN *** 3 of Clubs2 of Hearts4 of HeartsQueen of Hearts

*** RIVER *** 3 of Clubs2 of Hearts4 of HeartsQueen of Hearts4 of Spades

*** SUMMARY ***

Total pot €813.84 | Rake €3.00

Board: 3 of Clubs2 of Hearts4 of HeartsQueen of Hearts4 of Spades

brunolmh won (€0.00), mucks

soulixx won (€342.02), showed 2 of Spades2 of Clubs

Leo-Drake won (€0.00), showed 5 of Diamonds6 of Diamonds

GMTMoney won (€0.00), mucks

GiorgiAVFC won (€471.82), showed 5 of Hearts3 of Hearts

Postad

Charlie Runkle (Californication) morgonen efter en natts hård fylla, när han vaknar med Hank Moody i hans bil:

 

-I feel like ive been fucked in the ass by God himself. And then he... he... he pulled out and jizzed all over my face, got my eyes and now i cant even open them properly.

 

Hank:

- I'm hungry. You?

Postad
Charlie Runkle (Californication) morgonen efter en natts hård fylla, när han vaknar med Hank Moody i hans bil:

 

-I feel like ive been fucked in the ass by God himself. And then he... he... he pulled out and jizzed all over my face, got my eyes and now i cant even open them properly.

 

Hank:

- I'm hungry. You?

 

nötserie, underbart!

Postad
Charlie Runkle (Californication) morgonen efter en natts hård fylla, när han vaknar med Hank Moody i hans bil:

 

-I feel like ive been fucked in the ass by God himself. And then he... he... he pulled out and jizzed all over my face, got my eyes and now i cant even open them properly.

 

Hank:

- I'm hungry. You?

 

You emptied your sack today? Of course you have, you're Runkle. You'd wank off to a cat dancing on youtube.

 

Underbart.

Postad

SPOILERVARNING THE OFFICE.

 

The Office. Michael har för många år sedan, i stundens hetta, lovat en gettoklass att om de tar studenten så ska han betala för deras högskola!

 

Nu har visst ett antal tagit studenten och Michael åker till klassen för att berätta att han ljög. De har gjort värsta spektaklet och behandlar honom som ett helgon.

 

Del av hans tal:

 

- I came here today becuz i promised you tuition. And tuition is very valuable.... But, you know what's INvaluable? It's INtuition.

 

You know what that is? That is the ability to know when something is about to happen.

 

Does anybody out there have intutition? Know whats gonna happen next? .... nobody?... Ok.

 

Youre gonna make me say it. (ler besvärat mot kameran)

 

Hahaha.. pure gold.

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